Nintendo Switch 2: Analyst Forecasts 4.3 Million US Sales in 2025
Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella projects robust sales for the upcoming Nintendo Switch 2, estimating approximately 4.3 million units sold in the US during 2025, contingent on a first-half launch. This projection mirrors the original Switch's impressive 4.8 million unit sales by the end of 2017, a figure that exceeded Nintendo's initial forecasts. The anticipation surrounding the Switch 2 is palpable, frequently trending on social media, but translating this hype into concrete sales remains uncertain.
Several crucial factors will influence the Switch 2's performance in 2025, assuming a timely release. These include the launch timing itself – ideally before summer to capitalize on periods like Japan's Golden Week – as well as the quality of the console's hardware and the competitiveness of its initial game lineup.
Piscatella's prediction, shared via social media, suggests the Switch 2 will capture roughly one-third of the US video game console market in 2025 (excluding handheld PCs). He acknowledges potential supply chain challenges, echoing the difficulties faced by both the original Switch and the PS5 launches. However, he remains optimistic about Nintendo's preparedness to mitigate these issues.
While the Switch 2 is expected to perform strongly, Piscatella anticipates the PlayStation 5 retaining its position as the top-selling console in the US. The considerable hype surrounding the Switch 2 is a positive factor, but the PS5's anticipated release of major titles, including the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto 6, poses a significant competitive challenge. Ultimately, the Switch 2's success hinges on the console's hardware capabilities and the strength of its launch title selection. The level of excitement is undeniable, but only time will tell if it translates into market dominance.
